S&P 5007,818.93▲ record, Oct 6Shiller CAPE41.62nd-highest ever10-yr Treasury5.36%▲ 24-yr highFed funds3.75–4.00%▲ hike, Sep 16Brent crude$105.69Oct 13Q3 EPS growth, est.+29.6%FactSetTop-10 weight39%of S&P 500Implied ERP4.20%Damodaran, Oct 1Nvidia~$5.8trnmarket value0DTE share59%SPX options, 2025Active funds lagging79%large-cap, 2025U.S. real return6.6%/yr1900–2025
An independent news journalفارسی

Treasury clearing’s contest over collateral

New clearing providers offer potential choice ahead of US deadlines. Portfolio offsets and collateral costs will help determine whether business follows

By Kourosh Marashi3 min read
Bond certificates flow towards three turnstile gates, each topped with gold bars
Illustration: The Kourosh Review

America’s Treasury market is preparing for a major change in how trades are completed. The Securities and Exchange Commission’s implementation timetable sets December 31st 2026 for clearing eligible cash-market transactions and June 30th 2027 for eligible repurchase agreements. The mandate expands the use of central counterparties, organisations that stand between trading parties and manage their exposures under common rules.

The scope is specific: eligible secondary-market transactions involving direct participants in covered clearing agencies. The mandate does not require every Treasury trade, whoever makes it, to follow the same clearing route. Identifying the transaction, counterparty and applicable route is part of the implementation work.

Central clearing can replace a web of bilateral obligations with a common risk-management process and opportunities to offset exposures. Doing so also changes the demands on participating firms. Participants must reach the clearing service, supply collateral and handle the agreements and operating procedures around it. A firm comparing routes has to consider these requirements together, because a lower fee may be offset by a larger collateral commitment.

The advantage of an existing portfolio

In remarks on September 22nd, SEC commissioner Mark Uyeda described expanded clearing-access and margin-efficiency arrangements, as well as the registration of CME Securities Clearing and ICE Clear Credit as additional Treasury-clearing providers. He presented the entrants as potential choices for firms with different business models, while stressing that market forces would determine whether the alternatives were economically useful. His speech expressed his own views, rather than necessarily those of the Commission.

For customers, the value of an additional authorised provider depends on the entire cost of using it. Fees are only one component. How positions offset, the amount of collateral required and the operational work involved can matter as much. The commercial question is whether a different clearing route fits the portfolio and business already in place.

A Chicago Federal Reserve paper published in August 2026 offers a caution from interest-rate swaps. Its author, Ketan Patel, describes how portfolio offsets and larger pools of transactions helped clearing activity concentrate at a dominant provider. More activity can create more opportunities to reduce exposures, lowering collateral costs and attracting still more business. The paper presents the experience as a possible guide to Treasury clearing, not proof that the Treasury market will follow an identical path.

That creates a difficult commercial proposition for a challenger. It must offer enough value to compensate for whatever offsets a customer would lose by moving business away from an existing pool. Rival services can still improve choice, but registrations alone cannot show how much activity will move. Access terms and risk controls deserve attention alongside the number of authorised providers.

When a submitted trade cannot clear

Operational guidance is becoming more specific as the deadlines approach. The SEC staff’s Treasury-clearing FAQ was updated on September 2nd. It addresses circumstances in which a participant submits a transaction in good faith but an operational problem beyond its control prevents clearing, and reasonable efforts cannot get it resubmitted. Staff considers that a clearing agency may permit bilateral settlement in the circumstances described. The FAQ also discusses clearing-agency unavailability.

The FAQ is staff guidance with no independent legal force. It describes limited circumstances for handling a failed clearing attempt, rather than general relief from the mandate. Firms preparing procedures need to distinguish those circumstances from an ordinary decision to settle outside the required route.

The distinction between final rules, guidance and pending relief matters elsewhere too. The SEC implementation page lists requests and notices concerning particular structures and transactions. Their presence is not evidence that every requested exemption has been granted. Firms need to distinguish the rule they must meet from a proposal on which officials are still collecting views.

The December and June deadlines make these choices immediate. Firms need a route that accepts their eligible business, a clear account of the collateral it will require, and procedures for handling failed submissions. Competition can broaden those options. Whether it does so economically will be decided by the portfolios and operating arrangements customers can actually bring to each provider.

Subscribe to the journal · Free

The week, explained

Every Friday, a five-minute briefing on the stories that moved markets and the economy, from The Kourosh Review.

Free. No spam. Unsubscribe at any time.